Background
Josh Allen is the quarterback for the Buffalo Bills and has been one of the NFL's elite quarterbacks since 2020. He has never won an MVP award but has received votes in previous seasons. The NFL MVP is voted on by a panel of 50 media members selected by the Associated Press.

Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to YES if Josh Allen wins the Associated Press NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2023 NFL season. The award is typically announced at the NFL Honors ceremony before the Super Bowl in early 2024.

The market will resolve to NO if:

• Another player wins the AP NFL MVP award

• Allen shares the award with another player (in the unlikely event of a tie)

• Allen is unable to complete the season due to injury or other circumstances

Considerations

• The MVP award has gone to quarterbacks in 10 of the last 11 seasons

• Key competitors for the award include Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Tua Tagovailoa

• Team success typically plays a major role in MVP voting - the Bills' overall record and playoff performance could significantly impact Allen's chances

  Background The NFL MVP award is voted on by a panel of 50 media members selected by the Associated Press. Lamar Jackson, quarterback of the Baltimore Ravens, has emerged as the frontrunner after being named first-team All-Pro quarterback for the 2023 season. Historically, the NFL MVP has almost always been awarded to the first-team All-Pro quarterback, with the last exception being Steve McNair in 2003. Jackson has led the league in QBR and accumulated impressive stats including 41 passing touchdowns, 4,172 passing yards, and 915 rushing yards.

  Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to YES if Lamar Jackson wins the Associated Press NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2023 NFL season. The award is typically announced at the NFL Honors ceremony before the Super Bowl in early 2024.

  The market will resolve to NO if:

  • Another player wins the AP NFL MVP award

  • Jackson shares the award with another player (in the unlikely event of a tie)

  • The AP MVP award is not given out for any reason

  Considerations

  • Current betting odds heavily favor Jackson (-230) over his closest competitor Josh Allen (+190)

  • The first-team All-Pro selection has historically been a strong indicator of MVP selection

  • While Josh Allen has had an impressive season leading a less talented Bills team, the combination of Jackson's statistical performance and the Ravens' success makes him the clear favorite