
Will Redwood Research still exist in 1 year?
47
Ṁ810Ṁ11kresolved Apr 28
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if an organization called Redwood Research still exists, but has 1 or fewer employees working full time on alignment research.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ191 | |
| 2 | Ṁ81 | |
| 3 | Ṁ77 | |
| 4 | Ṁ70 | |
| 5 | Ṁ56 |
People are also trading
Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?
96% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?
67% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
94% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
49% chance
By 2028, will I think Redwood Research has been net-good for the world?
83% chance
Will Roam Research notes still exist by EOY2033?
31% chance
Will Balsa Research have 2 or more full-time employees at its five year mark?
50% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2030?
96% chance
Will retro.bio grow its own cell lines by EOY2029?
50% chance
Will Tomorrow Bio exist or have continuity with another organisation in 10 years?
63% chance
Sort by:
@RyanGreenblatt if you resolve within the next 1-2 days, I can donate the proceeds to the LTFF :) later Manifold will make the donation conversion rate 10x worse
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?
96% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?
67% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
94% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
49% chance
By 2028, will I think Redwood Research has been net-good for the world?
83% chance
Will Roam Research notes still exist by EOY2033?
31% chance
Will Balsa Research have 2 or more full-time employees at its five year mark?
50% chance
Will arxiv still exist in 2030?
96% chance
Will retro.bio grow its own cell lines by EOY2029?
50% chance
Will Tomorrow Bio exist or have continuity with another organisation in 10 years?
63% chance
