
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
9
170Ṁ1502028
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if I'm spending less than half of my working time doing alignment research at Redwood Research.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Redwood Research still exist in 2 years?
90% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?
88% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
58% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?
32% chance
Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?
38% chance
Will there be more alignmentforum posts from 2025 than 2024?
50% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?
68% chance
Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will I have a research position at MIRI by 2025?
10% chance
Will I feel "very happy" about the ex-post results of the Redwood Research sandbagging project on 2025-04-01?
85% chance