Resolved according to my subjective judgement.
This is roughly as described here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DwoPGM8ytBCXrZpM7/backchaining-in-strategy

By 'great backchained empirical alignment research', I both mean the research is good and that it benefited from carefully reasoning through the alignment problem and possible approaches. This particularly includes thinking about the future situation we'll be in during high risk periods.

Resolves to n/a if no such paper is released in 1 year.