Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?
36
245
1k
2031
14%
chance

Resolves YES if Chaya Raichik is found guilty of any crime under U.S. law in a court of law.

Resolves NO if conditions above are not met.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 50% order

@Gabrielle would you do 50?

@jacksonpolack Hah sorry, I have very little confidence in my position here, I just wanted to put a little stake in and watch the market.

@Gabrielle same with me

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 60% order

I didn't think anyone would take this order, but I was wrong! Prove me even wrong-er!

rucker if you want to take more of my order i can managram you some money to do that

@jacksonpolack I'm fine but thank you for the offer!

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 60% order

big limit up. why do we think she will be?

bought Ṁ20 YES

@jacksonpolack my justification is the recent incident regarding the nonbinary student that died. I don't know much about so I will not comment. This market is more for others who know the situation better than me

@Rucker As much as Raichik's rhetoric is promoting transphobia online and maybe be subtly increasing the division and bigotry in the current LGBTQ culture war, she is guilty of nothing more than posting inflammatory content online.

There could be a civil case here because of harassment that people have received as a result of Raichik posting about them, but I doubt it would be a particularly strong one.

I don't see any prosecutors bothering to charge her with anything unless she starts explicitly calling for violence or harassment.

@Athena A fair point and something I recommend reading to anyone who is interested in betting on this.

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