Which user will add the plurality of answers to the market "How many answers will this question have when it closes?"?
8
125Ṁ3387
resolved Jan 31
100%99.0%
0.1%
0.3%Other

The initial answers are the people who 1) previously added an answer and 2) have enough mana to realistically pay the 100M per added answer. Feel free to add other users as answers.

This market will resolve to the user who added the most answers to https://manifold.markets/AndrewKeen/how-many-answers-will-this-question when it closes. If there is a tie, it will split evenly between the users who added the most answers.

How many answers will this question have when it closes?
Including "Other," how many answers will this question have when it closes? If more than one answer is correct, the most restrictive of the correct answers will resolve to Yes. For example, if one answer is "An even number" and another answer is "Six," and there are six answers when the question closes, then "Six" would resolve to Yes because it is more restrictive than "An even number." And similarly, "A number divisible by 3" would be more restrictive than "An even number" if those were the only two correct answers. If I determine that more than one correct answer are equally the most restrictive correct answer, then I will split the decision evenly between the most restrictive correct answers. Please don't add an answer that is equivalent to an answer that has already been added. I won't be changing the closing date/time of this question or betting on it myself. I also won't be adding any further answers myself. Update 2025-24-01: Going forward, I would appreciate it if all answers are legible to all traders. And if anyone adds "The number of answers this question has" or anything equivalent to that, that will be treated as the least restrictive answer (equivalent to "Any number") and automatically resolve to No (since "Odd" and "Even" have already been added, which are both more restrictive than "Any number") when the question closes (even though it is technically a variable finite set of N=1). Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Most Restrictive Answer Parsing: The most restrictive answer is interpreted as a finite set that includes all other answers that are single static integers. This finite set is considered less restrictive than any individual answer within the set. Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on Resolution Criteria: All sets are treated as finite sets. Set members are counted between 1 and 100 to determine restrictiveness. Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarifications: Equivalent sets (e.g., "prime number between 1 and 100") cannot be added to increase restrictiveness. Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on Restrictiveness: Variable values are considered less restrictive than static values. Static values (e.g., "100") remain the most restrictive when resolving the market.
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opened a Ṁ5,000 NO at 1.0% order

Dang, didn't know I joined Whale Club!
(not really, hehe)

28d

lmao

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