EUR/CHF >= 1, will the euro be equal to or higher than the Swiss franc by the end of 2023?
32
204
แน821
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Using https://www.xe.com/currencyconverter/convert/?Amount=1&From=EUR&To=CHF or the first exchange plateforme suggested on Google.com search, if xe.com is unavailable, by the end of 31-12-2023.

In words, we ask if, by the end of the year, you must pay one or more Swiss francs to get 1 euro.

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predicted YES

@RomainClaret Should this resolve now? How were you intending the word "by" to be interpreted?

bought แน5 of YES

Shouldn't this be YES since Jan 14?

bought แน10 YES from 1.5% to 1.7%
sold แน10 of YES

EUR / CHF = 1 EUR / 1 CHF = 1 EUR / 1.0758433 EUR = 0.92950339515 < 1 or not >= 1

This would be according to the question and the bets correct.

bought แน10 of YES

@Lion the point is that the question says "by" which normally means "at or before", not just "at". And on Jan 13-14 it was above 1.

@EvanDaniel Okay, the wiki says: "By: Usually interpreted as synonymous with "before". Sometimes people use it when they mean "at the end of this period"; this usage is best avoided." (https://manifoldcommunity.miraheze.org/wiki/Glossary)

The creator had been online since creating this question (about 7 month ago), so in my eyes he'd resolved this question back then.

I don't have any position in this question, so I don't really care. An unbiased mod should take a look at this and maybe N/A this one!?! Maybe ask @MarcusAbramovitch for his interpretation, because he holds most shares.

predicted YES

@Lion Yeah, it's definitely been used both ways in the past; I'd really like to encourage people not to do that, and I think it's the more natural interpretation, but not a universal one especially on older questions.