Will the MSRP of the Nintendo Switch 2 in the US be increased from what was initially announced before release day?
Will the MSRP of the Nintendo Switch 2 in the US be increased from what was initially announced before release day?
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1kṀ4048Jun 4
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Resolves YES if the US MSRP of either Nintendo Switch 2 SKU is increased from $449.99 for the base model or $499.99 for the Mario Kart bundle before it is released.
(Context: Some people are speculating that this might happen because of the US's new tariffs on Vietnam and Japan.)
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@Robincvgr I'll think about it. Very volatile situation with tariffs, I don't have a ton of confidence either direction
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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