What will this market's trading volume be? [Add answers]
What will this market's trading volume be? [Add answers]
42
3.2kṀ1mresolved Sep 13
Resolved
YES≥Ṁ9,001
Resolved
YES≥Ṁ10,000
Resolved
YESGreater than (number of traders) * 3000
Resolved
YES≥Ṁ1,000
Resolved
YES≥Ṁ1,000,000
Resolved
YESa substring of the digits of pi (yes within 200m digits, N/A otherwise)
Resolved
YESLess than the number I will post in comments in response to this option
Resolved
YES≥Ṁ100
Resolved
YES≥Ṁ10
Resolved
YESGreater than this market's: https://manifold.markets/marktwse/who-will-get-more-votes-in-the-thur
Resolved
YESLess than Manifold's estimate for the number of Pennsylvania Trump voters in 2024 (I'll make a market for this momentarily)
Resolved
YESAn excessive number
Resolved
YESAn even number
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NOA multiple of 7
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NOWithin 1000 of the product of option values of any multiple-choice market in the top 100 open markets by liquidity (at this market's resolution)
Resolved
NOA number that appears in the first 50,000 digits of pi (https://www.angio.net/pi/)
Resolved
NOa cell phone number that someone responds to when it is called
Resolved
NOEvenly divisible by the number of traders
Resolved
NOWithin 1000 of 100*(SF Giants season win total at the close date)
Resolved
NOExactly Ṁ413
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 5 | Ṁ60 |
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.