# 🏅 Top traders

# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|

1 | Ṁ242 | |

2 | Ṁ165 | |

3 | Ṁ93 | |

4 | Ṁ67 | |

5 | Ṁ49 |

@Nightsquared It resolves NO

More specifically, the calculation is: go to manifold browse, and sort open markets by liquidity. Open every multiple-choice market in the first 100 markets (sorted by liquidity), and multiply the value of all of the options (as percent, so i.e. a market with options at 50%, 30%, 19%, and .8% would have a value of 50*30*19*.8 = 22800). If any markets end up with a value within 1000 of the trading volume, this resolves yes.

@Nightsquared The value associated with this is 3445227.48, so this resolves yes

@Nightsquared number for this should be n*3,377,674/50, where n is the value of this market: https://manifold.markets/Nightsquared/how-many-votes-will-trump-receive-i

@Nightsquared This market close Sep 13. Your market for deciding runs to Nov 16. Does this market stay open until Nov 16 (so it is close to actual votes), or is it the value at time this market closes, or at some other time?

@ZaneMiller @Robincvgr Might this depend on the country that it is attempted in? Knowing the country and range of number of digits in cell phone numbers in that country might be useful.

mmm I feel like this should be N/Aed, i don't think a proof of pi's normality is coming by market close lmao

anyone have any input here?

An alternative would be to resolve yes if the number can be found and only N/A if cannot be found?

https://www.angio.net/pi/#google_vignette

does 200M digits, it is highly likely to be yes it can be found

@Robincvgr tbh I was kind of just trolling (bc I was under the impression pi *had* been proven to include every possible sequence of digits)

@Nightsquared @Robincvgr

Less than 400 * (Kamala's chance...

400*100 =40000 so that one can also resolve

@vibhav @Robincvgr

Is the highest possible number that resolves yes 66 games +15 games so could reach 81 wins *100 + 1000 = 9100. We have passed this so can resolve no

30000-40000 also passed so can resolve no.