What is true about the fire / arson attempt on Josh Shapiro's residence?
29
1.1kṀ3583Dec 31
90%
Perpetrator was motivated by antisemitism
87%
Perpretator intended to kill Shapiro
7%
Perpetrator had personal, non-political connection to Shapiro or his family
6%
Perpetrator's primary motivation was non-political grievance against Shapiro
6%
Perpetrator's primary motivation was a right-wing political cause
5%
Perpetrator was a foreign agent
Resolved
YESIt was an arson attempt
Resolved
N/A[duplicate, na]
Resolves once news reporting makes me at least 95% confident in the correct resolution. E.g. a conviction isn't necessary for identifying the perpetrator and their motives, a strong prime suspect is enough.
All options I am not at least 95% confident in resolve N/A at market close
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@Robincvgr This one says he confessed that if he found Shapiro he would have “beaten him with a hammer” that he brought – certainly sounds like intended to kill him? https://www.inquirer.com/news/pennsylvania/josh-shapiro-cody-balmer-attempted-homicide-governors-mansion-20250414.html