What is true about the fire / arson attempt on Josh Shapiro's residence?
29
1.1kṀ4783
resolved Jul 29
Resolved
YES
It was an arson attempt
Resolved
YES
Perpretator intended to kill Shapiro
Resolved
YES
Perpetrator was motivated by antisemitism
Resolved
N/A
[duplicate, na]
Resolved
NO
Perpetrator's primary motivation was a right-wing political cause
Resolved
NO
Perpetrator was a foreign agent
Resolved
NO
Perpetrator's primary motivation was non-political grievance against Shapiro
Resolved
NO
Perpetrator had personal, non-political connection to Shapiro or his family

Resolves once news reporting makes me at least 95% confident in the correct resolution. E.g. a conviction isn't necessary for identifying the perpetrator and their motives, a strong prime suspect is enough.

All options I am not at least 95% confident in resolve N/A at market close

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@dgga oh god the antisemitism one is gonna be so controversial to resolve

@Robincvgr sooo why did the antisemitism one resolves YES? As far as I understand the article the quote is about protesting the attack on Palestinians. Which has nothing to do with Judaism.

@Robincvgr This one says he confessed that if he found Shapiro he would have “beaten him with a hammer” that he brought – certainly sounds like intended to kill him? https://www.inquirer.com/news/pennsylvania/josh-shapiro-cody-balmer-attempted-homicide-governors-mansion-20250414.html

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