What chance will Manifold give the Democratic Party on this 2024 US presidential election market on October 1?
8
100Ṁ444
resolved Oct 1
Resolved
YES
51-55%
Resolved
NO
30% or less
Resolved
NO
31-35%
Resolved
NO
36-40%
Resolved
NO
41-45%
Resolved
NO
46-50%
Resolved
NO
56-60%
Resolved
NO
61-65%
Resolved
NO
66-70%
Resolved
NO
71% or more

This market will resolve according to, according to the market below, the chance that the Democratic Party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election as of October 1, 2024 at a secret time chosen by me between 1:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET.

I may trade in this market, except in the final 72 hours.

US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Predictions on Predictions
Democratic Party
Meta-markets
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