♟️Manifold Plays Chess | ♔ White to move, move 3

1kṀ24k

Feb 23

0.6%

[Resign]

0.9%

[Offer draw]

11%

1.2%

Bc4

38%

Nc3

47%

Bb5

0.9%

Other

Welcome to Manifold Plays Chess! It is currently white's turn to play, and this is the current state of the board.

At an arbitrary time no earlier than 12 hours before listed close time, the answer at the highest percentage will resolve 100%, and the rest will resolve 0%. That move will then be played on the board. Please add answers to suggest moves. I will invalidate any answers that are not one of the following: a valid move, resign, offer to draw

The market will never resolve to Other. If it is in the lead, I will wait for another option to take the lead before resolving. If the market closes with Other in the lead, I will resolve to the second highest answer.

Then, a similar market for black's move will be created, then a market for white's response, and so on and so forth until the game concludes.

I may bet in the seconds immediately after market creation, but will not bet other than that.

(further detail: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/manifold-plays-chess-white-to-move#92gihcvtj18)

Bet on the outcome here: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/who-will-win-manifold-plays-chess?play=true

Get

1,000

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23 Comments

15 Holders

121 Trades

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sold Ṁ50 YES

@benshindel looking through all the traders on this market I think you probably have enough mana to outweigh everyone else combined

Please noone bet on one of the other options ( anything aside from Bb5 or Nc3) you could make so much money and ruin all my plans!

@spiderduckpig but what if i like the scotch?

@jcb then buy buy buy!

@jcb @R2D2sm5g I don't know about you guys but I would give everything I have for Nc3. So you might as well stop trying the other options

bought Ṁ500 YES

@spiderduckpig Wanna team on Nc3?

@inaccessibles ill try to last minute Nc3

@spiderduckpig That's such a good plan!

@inaccessibles I agree :)

bought Ṁ5 YES

@spiderduckpig @ouroboros join us

bought Ṁ15 YES

let's do ruy lopez

bought Ṁ200 YES

@spiderduckpig what a coincidence, that's one of my favorite openings

bought Ṁ50 YES

@inaccessibles maybe we should do italian instead of spanish actually

bought Ṁ1 YES

scotch tho

bought Ṁ4 YES

@jcb your call

sold Ṁ400 YES

@spiderduckpig are you down for the Scotch Game?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@spiderduckpig You have over 3k YES shares for d4.

@jcb Pinging you too just so you know about this. You have over 500 shares of d4

@spiderduckpig you do know a refutation of Ruy Lopez exists?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I didn't know that, that's interesting

bought Ṁ500 YES

@spiderduckpig you know what I changed my mind let's do Nc3 instead for the Knights Game. You also have 3k shares of Nc3

@JussiVilleHeiskanen it is refuted??

@spiderduckpig nevermind. My memory seems to have failed me. Don't find it online. I could have sworn some chess engine churned one out not too long ago. But duckduckgoing doesn't bring it up

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