r1bqkbnr/pppp1ppp/2n5/4p3/2B1P3/2PP1N2/PP3PPP/RNBQK2R w KQkq - 1 6
Welcome to Manifold Plays Chess! It is currently white's turn to play, and this is the current state of the board.
At an arbitrary time no earlier than 12 hours before listed close time, the answer at the highest percentage will resolve 100%, and the rest will resolve 0%. That move will then be played on the board. Please add answers to suggest moves. I will invalidate any answers that are not one of the following: a valid move, resign, offer to draw
The market will never resolve to Other. If it is in the lead, I will wait for another option to take the lead before resolving. If the market closes with Other in the lead, I will resolve to the second highest answer.
Then, a similar market for black's move will be created, then a market for white's response, and so on and so forth until the game concludes.
I may bet in the seconds immediately after market creation, but will not bet other than that.
(further detail: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/manifold-plays-chess-white-to-move#92gihcvtj18)
Bet on the outcome here: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/who-will-win-manifold-plays-chess?play=true
1,000What do you all think of Qb3 or d4?
@spiderduckpig A good idea would be to make sure that neither side has a serious advantage, so that the game would last as long as possible and Robin would be forced to make more chess markets
@Robincvgr It wasn't a permanent decision? If I could vote, I wouldn't want you to remove initial suggestions because questions with less answers leave less room for profit. I suggest that you put the top 5 Stockfish moves as the initial answers for each market, which will both remove bias and remove the inconvenience of having to think of which moves to put