Is Ali Khamenei dead (2/28)?

Ṁ100Ṁ9.8k

Mar 30

97%

chance

ALL

Resolves once there is broad consensus on whether Ali Khamenei was dead at 19:20 UTC on Feb 28 2026

Close date is provisional

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I notice this keeps trading under 95%. Is there a reason this market is thought more likely to resolve no than similar markets?

@Elspeth Specific time stamp. And quick returns.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen The time stamp was 12 hours after the reported strike.

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