How will Joe Biden die before age 100?
13
100Ṁ38172042
1%
Still alive on November 20, 2042
1.7%
Any homicidal injury that causes death within one year
3%
Any accidental injury that causes death within one year
0.4%
Suicide
94%
Any other cause of death (e.g. any natural cause)
Will resolve according to my interpretation of a consensus of credible reporting. Feel free to ask for clarification on how I would resolve a certain scenario. If resolution seems likely to be controversial, I will seek input from the community before resolving.
Close date is provisional and may be resolved early if Biden dies, or extended if the correct resolution is unclear by market close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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