Claude Fable 5 American reenablement prop bets
27
Ṁ1.1kṀ11kresolved Jul 2
Resolved
YESFable is available with safeguards more stringent than previously (even for Americans)
Resolved
YESThe same version of Fable available to Americans is available in most of the world
Resolved
NOFable is available to both Americans and non-Americans with distinct safeguards for American and non-American users
Resolved
NOFable is available, but not on the API
Resolved
NOFable is available, but not in Claude Code
Resolved
NOFable will not be included in any Claude subscription plan's usage
"Fable" refers to:
Claude Fable 5 OR any Anthropic model explicitly positioned as more capable, and
Unless otherwise specified, the most permissive version of that model (and accompanying safeguards, harnesses etc) generally available to Americans
If Fable is not generally available to US citizens inside the US at market close, all options resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Robincvgr what was the original closing date? I was betting on "Fable not being generally available to US citizens inside the US at market close" and I wonder whether the close date was moved to after it was made available.