Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Claude Fable 5 American reenablement prop bets
3
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
Jul 6
50%
The same version of Fable available to Americans is available in most of the world
50%
Fable is available with safeguards more stringent than previously (even for Americans)
48%
Fable is available to both Americans and non-Americans with distinct safeguards for American and non-American users
10%
Fable is available, but not on the API
6%
Fable is available, but not in Claude Code

"Fable" refers to:

  • Claude Fable 5 OR any Anthropic model explicitly positioned as more capable, and

  • Unless otherwise specified, the most permissive version of that model (and accompanying safeguards, harnesses etc) generally available to Americans

If Fable is not generally available to US citizens inside the US at market close, all options resolve NO.

Market context
US Politics
Anthropic
Claude
Prop Bets
Artificial Intelligence
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!