Resolution Criteria
This market resolves based on the final result of the first leg of the Europa League knockout play-off between Fenerbahçe and Nottingham Forest on February 19, 2026. The match will be played at Şükrü Saraçoğlu Stadium in Istanbul, with kick-off at 5:45 PM GMT. Resolution will be determined by the official UEFA match result: Fenerbahçe win (including after extra time and penalties), draw, or Nottingham Forest win. Check the official UEFA Europa League website at https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/ for the final result.
Background
This is the first competitive meeting between Fenerbahçe and Forest. Fenerbahçe are unbeaten through 22 Super Lig matches and have won their last four league games, scoring 11 goals in the process. Forest have won only three of their last 13 matches, and owner Evangelos Marinakis has already dismissed three managers this season before appointing Vitor Pereira to an 18-month contract. The Opta supercomputer found this one tough to call, with Fenerbahçe winning 37.1% of pre-match simulations, and Nottingham Forest coming out on top in 36.6%, with a draw given a 26.3% likelihood.
Considerations
Pereira has built a reputation for fast starts, winning his opening match in each of his last seven managerial roles. However, Fenerbahçe have faced English opponents 21 times in European competition, winning just four of those matches, underlining the challenge ahead even with home advantage. Nelson Semedo and Oğuz Aydın are one booking away from suspension and risk missing the return leg in England if cautioned.
This description was generated by AI.
1,000