We all love manifold, but it's got it's problems! A significant number of them are itemized in this list.

Have you ever wondered if you could not just correct a markets price, but actually correct markets? Have you wanted to earn 160,000+ a year, fully remote?

Have you wanted to figure out the aggregate likelihood of those above questions? Then bet here!

Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to the bucket containing the number of issues someone completes before their hire, by the next Manifold hire who has closed any issues tracked on Github (see above link).

This market will stay open until they hire someone who has closed 1 or more issues on github is hired.

Please feel free to ask any clarifying questions in the comments. I intend for this market to best answer the question in the title and am open to suggestions on how to bring the resolution criteria closer to that.

Note: I accidentally have "20" twice in the answers to this question. In the case that someone completes exactly 20 open issues, I will resolve this market to "10-20".

• Update 2025-06-01 (PST): - If no one is hired who has closed any issues on GitHub by the market closing date, the market will be set to N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-06-01 (PST): - Resolution Adjustment:

  • The creator will not automatically set the market to N/A if no one is hired by the closing date.

  • Instead, the community can decide to set the market to N/A or extend the market duration. (AI summary of creator comment)