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Atlanta Fed prediction is exactly 2.5%

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

Note that the market will resolve based on the annualized (for the quarter) first estimate for real Q1 '24 US GDP from the BEA, which is released on the 25th of April.

At annualized rate right?

@No_ones_ghost Yep

@No_ones_ghost It is also “real” meaning seasonally adjusted and accounting for inflation

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product