MANIFOLD
Will Elissa Slotkin or Tammy Baldwin end up voting for a Trump nominee that >=3 Republican senators vote against?
3
Ṁ600Ṁ5.5k
resolved Dec 20
Resolved
YES

The reason they survived is that they air'ed ads of them being able to work with Trump, b/c they SAW their internal exit polling showing bearish trends for Harris. Elissa specifically showed herself as independent from the Democrat party and may have capitalized on anti-establishment sentiment to barely win

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@mods Im happy to wait if needed but this can resolve yes per linked sources below.

Not sure how quick this user is to resolve markets; I know they make a lot of them.

@MRME ugh this creator is super unreliable. they're basically a content farm and mods do all the resolutions: lots junk, some gems, no follow through

@Stralor yeah I rarely bet on their markets because the terms are often completely unknowable…but this one had liquidity and verifiable criteria.

Thanks!

bought Ṁ5,393 YES

@creator this resolves as yes.

On https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_votes/vote1191/vote_119_1_00111.htm#position

Budd (R-NC), Paul (R-KY), and McConnell (R-KY) all voted against Lori Chavez-DeRemer for secretary of labor.

Slotkin (D-MI) voted for confirmation.

Thus the terms of the market are satisfied and it should resolve as yes. Thanks!

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