"Currently there are 2 recorded, there will need to be 5 total when closing this bet for it to affirm"

But at time of closing, there were only 4. The last two were added yesterday:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=List_of_political_self-immolations&action=history

Also, the prisoner who told the journalist about it said that the self-immolations "were not protests". The wiki page says, "Non-political self-immolations are not included in the list", so I would expect those entries to be removed from the page shortly:

https://www.prisonradio.org/commentary/self-immolation-in-virginia-prisons/