Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?
Premium
24
Ṁ21k2025
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve as YES if David Austin Walsh receives an offer for a tenure-track position by the end of August 2025. The market will still settle as YES if he gets an offer and turns it down, as long as the market maker deems it more likely than not that an offer was made based on publicly available evidence and whatever I learn through other channels. This offer must be in the United States or Canada.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@MichaelWheatley Actually, one year is a pretty tight timeline. I could do 4 years and any-western-country.
@jacksonpolack what do you mean by smaller?
I was originally envisioning a side bet but then I remembered managrams don't exist anymore.