Trump nominates Musk to cabinet?
56
๐•Š2999
Mar 1
5%
chance

This market will settle as YES if Donald Trump wins the election and announces that Elon Musk is nominated to a cabinet position by February 28, 2025. Trump must say what the position is; a general expression that Musk will be in the cabinet will not count. "The cabinet" means one of the 15 heads of government agencies, or a role designated as cabinet-level.

If the Republican ticket loses the election, this market will settle as N/A. If the Republican ticket wins but Donald Trump is not able to fulfill his duties, then the market will be resolved based on whether whoever the next president is nominates Musk.

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sold แน€107 NO

Selling my no because it's unclear to me if the resolver will regard DOGE as "cabinet-level" or not.
(Specifically: I'm not >94% sure that they'll regard DOGE as "not cabinet-level")

@gamedev Is Trump designating the head of the DOGE as cabinet-level?

> "The cabinet" means one of the 15 heads of government agencies, or a role designated as cabinet-level.

@WilliamKiely tanking now

bought แน€1,000 NO

That being said, Musk will not be in the Cabinet.

Trump said: โ€œHe doesnโ€™t want to be in the Cabinet, he just wants to be in charge of cost-cutting. Weโ€™ll have a new position, secretary of cost-cutting, Elon wants to do that.โ€

https://fortune.com/2024/11/06/elon-musk-jerome-powell-rfk-jr-who-is-out-or-in-donald-trump-administration/

If the Republican ticket loses the election, this market will settle as N/A.

Sounds like it should have been higher than 12% on Nov 4. Trump winning shouldn't cause the price to go up.

@WilliamKiely "should have been higher" assuming the current 25% is the right price, which I don't know.

Musk will mald so hard if this doesn't happen LOL

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