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On February 20, 2026, the Apple stock will be higher than on February 12, 2026?
55
Ṁ1kṀ5.5k
resolved Feb 23
Resolved
YES

Clarification: The stock prices that are compared will be the closing prices of each respective day. If the specified date falls on a day when the stock market is closed (e.g., a weekend or public holiday), the closing price of the most recent previous trading day will be used.

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@RiccardoBoscariol resolves yes

AAPL 2/12 close: $261.73

Expected return over 8 days is nearly 0 % (assuming all available information is already priced into the stock). However volatility >> 0%. Therefore, the true probability is almost certainly < 60 %.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 52% order
bought Ṁ60 YES

Apple stock is likely to increase.

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