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ah, weighted coinflips, how i cherish thee

@brod except it was higher, should we just 🤫? still rated 1 star.

@brod the only interpretation for a NO is if it was higher at all times during 3/20 than the price on 3/15 (which was the close on 3/14), and the 3/20 low was a buck or so lower. Anyway, I guess we got lucky.

@deagol oh shit, I didn’t even check tbh. yeah both the close and the high were greater on 20/3 than the close of 14/3 in USD on NYSE. hm. @creator ?

Why was this trading above 90%?

@RiccardoBoscariol is this at any point during 20 March regular session, or pre-market and after hours as well, or only at close? and since 15 March is a Saturday, the reference would be Friday 14 March's close? Please clarify, thanks.

@deagol I interpret this to mean that if the intraday high on March 20 is higher than the intraday high on March 15, this will resolve YES.

Is this correct, @RiccardoBoscariol?

@ChadCotty what would the intraday high be for Saturday, March 15?

@deagol You’re right, I was thinking that was a trading day. I guess we could use the March 14 close and the intraday high on March 20.

@ChadCotty I'd say close to close seems fairest. An intraday high (or low) has a fatter tail compared to a close, so would bias this to YES.

@ChadCotty also, I found this comment answering the same question on a similar market by same creator:

I intend to compare the closing price of Apple's stock on March 20, 2025, with the closing price on February 15, 2025

Funny, Feb 15 was also a Saturday lol