Will India have a larger GDP than Japan in 2027?
Will India have a larger GDP than Japan in 2027?
28
1kṀ11682028
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if India has a larger nominal GDP than Japan in the year from January 1st 2027 -> December 31st 2027
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Which country will have the highest GDP growth percentage in 2024?
Which of the following countries will be the biggest country by GDP in 2060?
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
35% chance
Will the Indian economy exceed $4 trillion by April 1st, 2025? (End of financial year)
15% chance
Will the gdp growth rate in India exceed 8% in 2024 ?
37% chance
Will India become 3rd largest economy by 2026?
27% chance
Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?
42% chance
Will India's GDP cross $7 trillion by 2030?
63% chance
Will India's real GDP be greater than the US's by 2035?
10% chance
Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027?
25% chance