Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2024?
Standard
54
Ṁ24k
resolved Jul 3
Resolved
NO

Resolves as YES if GPT-5 is released before July 1st 2024

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-8c957783cf35

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-mar-20-04aa9e145a57

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20-e3c7a09c7840

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-may-20-370feb584056

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jun-20-da21ae1ffcdd

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20-09d441d0d15e (this question)

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20-f155aef83a4b

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-sep-20-b4b9e56da814

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-oct-20-7426e1e5392e

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-nov-20-de1a0d74aaab

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20-0a804511572e

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jan-20-6e2ba03f7479

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-5a18f221c267

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-mar-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-may-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jun-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-sep-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-oct-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-nov-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jan-20

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20

Other questions for Jul 2024:

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20-09d441d0d15e (this question)

/RemNi/will-sora-be-released-before-jul-20

In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, GPT-5 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.

A release of the text component alone is sufficient to resolve this question as YES. However, a staged release (a release of a smaller model than the largest version of GPT-5) is not considered to be the "release" in the context of this question.

If access is restricted (e.g. due to resource availability limitations) at this question's end date, then this market resolves as YES only if the majority of existing paying accounts on OpenAI's premium offer that were subscribed a week prior to this end date can use the model. This must be true in at least 4 of the countries listed above. The anywhere on earth time zone is used for this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,289 NO

@mods Resolves NO, OP deleted.

i put this at 10%. but, i put it at 30% before august and 70% before september.

@CampbellHutcheson

I Placed a temporary large limit order at 40% if you wanna take it

bought Ṁ10 YES

I would bet yes

@GrantStenger Do you know something we don't?