Will Denis Villeneuve direct an adaptation of The Player of Games before 2035?
Will Denis Villeneuve direct an adaptation of The Player of Games before 2035?
6
140Ṁ4002035
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if a movie adaptation, directed by Denis Villeneuve, of the science fiction novel The Player of Games is released before January 1st 2035.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Christopher Nolan direct a Bond movie before 2050?
26% chance
Will Denis Villeneuve’s next film be related to Dune?
95% chance
Will Denis Villeneuve release at least three Dune movies by 2030?
93% chance
Third Dune movie, but NOT directed by Villeneuve, before 2030?
7% chance
When will a third Dune movie directed by Villeneuve be released?
Will a major streaming service adapt A Fire Upon the Deep by Vernor Vinge into a television series by 01/01/2032?
Ready Player One by 2030?
48% chance
How many video game adaptations will be released in theaters in 2025?
Will Dennis Villeneuve make Dune 4?
11% chance
Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030?
47% chance