China steals GPT-5

Ṁ1kṀ2.3k

2031

15%

chance

ALL

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the Chinese State has exfiltrated the weights to GPT-5 before January 1st 2031.

If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, then this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence then this question resolves as NO.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

sold Ṁ32 NO

filled a Ṁ30 NO at 20% order

Given how things are going at this rate, unclear that they will need to do this at all