China steals GPT-5
20
1kṀ11202031
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the Chinese State has exfiltrated the weights to GPT-5 before January 1st 2031.
If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, then this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence then this question resolves as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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