If either the prompt or completion price decreases for either 8k or 32k token length, this market will resolve YES. If a new model that marketed as similar to GPT-4 but cheaper is released, the market will resolve YES, e.g. as per the GPT-3.5-turbo model. If other tokens lengths or variants that are not equivalent are release, they will not effect the resolution of this market.
From the OpenAI website: https://openai.com/pricing
GPT-4
With broad general knowledge and domain expertise, GPT-4 can follow complex instructions in natural language and solve difficult problems with accuracy.
Learn more
8K context
Prompt
$0.03 / 1K tokens
Completion
$0.06 / 1K tokens
32K context
Prompt
$0.06 / 1K tokens
Completion
$0.12 / 1K tokens
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ85 | |
| 2 | Ṁ60 | |
| 3 | Ṁ58 | |
| 4 | Ṁ44 | |
| 5 | Ṁ43 |
My similar market that only is about API is trading at 86%: https://manifold.markets/ShadowyZephyr/will-the-cost-of-gpt4-api-decrease
