Will my Twitter (@rigormyrole) gain at least 50% as many followers as people voting on this poll?
Basic
24
Ṁ12kresolved Oct 22
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/rigormyrole
START: 7 followers (August 30th)
Resolves in 45 days.
Example: if there are 10 different accounts (including bots) voting on this poll, then I'd need to reach 12+ Twitter followers (7 + 10/2) in order for this to resolve YES. This rounds down, so w/ 9 voting accounts, would need to reach 11 followers (7+4.5, rounded down).
Different factors to consider:
Are people more inclined to vote No or Yes? How does this change as the Payout Odds change?
Yes voters have incentive to follow me on Twitter.
Some manifolders wont have Twitter, eg. bot accounts
I may gain some followers from outside of manifold, for example through posting/commenting on Twitter.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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