MANIFOLD
Who will be India’s next Test Captain?
6
Ṁ125Ṁ680
resolved May 24
100%96%
Shubman Gill
0.4%
Virat Kohli
0.8%
Jasprit Bumrah
1.2%
Rishabh Pant
1.8%Other

This market will resolve to the next permanent captain of the Indian Men’s Test Cricket team. The resolution will be based on an announcement on the official BCCI website (https://www.bcci.tv).

I define “permanent captain” as when a player is appointed captain and the official announcement does not give a date at which they will cease to be captain. If a non-permanent captain is announced, the market will remain open until either a permanent captain is announced, or the 31st Dec 2025 (in which case the market will resolve as ‘Other‘.

If the BCCI appoints two people as co-captains (or similar), the market will resolve as “Other”.

Background

Rohit Sharma announced his retirement from Test cricket on May 7, 2025, after a distinguished career spanning 67 matches, where he amassed 4,301 runs at an average of 40.57, including 12 centuries. (reuters.com)

Following his retirement, discussions have emerged regarding his successor. Jasprit Bumrah, who has previously captained India in Test matches, is a prominent candidate. However, concerns about the workload and injury risks associated with fast bowlers have been raised. (reuters.com)

Shubman Gill, at 25, has demonstrated leadership capabilities, notably leading the Gujarat Titans to the top of the IPL points table. His proactive approach and game sense have been highlighted by team officials. (reuters.com)

Other potential candidates include Rishabh Pant, who has been promoted to Grade A in the BCCI's central contracts, reflecting his growing stature in the team. (reuters.com)

Considerations

  • Workload Management: Appointing a fast bowler like Bumrah as captain may pose challenges due to the physical demands and injury risks associated with the role.

  • Leadership Experience: While Gill has shown promise in domestic leagues, his experience in international leadership roles is limited compared to other candidates.

  • Team Dynamics: The decision may also consider the balance between experienced players and emerging talents to ensure a cohesive team environment.

Market context
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