Will I qualify for IMO 2025?
Will I qualify for IMO 2025?
12
100Ṁ236resolved Apr 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if I qualify for the Indonesian team for IMO 2025.
Resolves N/A if Indonesia has not selected a team and does not participate in IMO 2025.
Background Information:
- I am in my final year of high school (last chance) in Indonesia
- Past contest scores: 710 710 on IMO 2024 and 77000 on APMO 2024 (both are the most common total scores lmao)
- Past IMO Participants' scores in the Indonesia TST is cut by 8%, while non veterans are given a bonus of 0%-4% depending on homework
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.