Resolution criteria

• Resolves to the answer naming the first permanent Premier League first-team head coach/manager to leave their post after the market’s creation timestamp (UTC on Manifold). “Leave” includes being sacked, resigning, “mutual consent,” or departing for another job; moving into a different non–head coach role at the same club also counts. Interim/caretaker changes do not count unless the club had formally designated the person as permanent at the time of departure.

• Evidence priority: (1) Official club announcement (news/statement page) with timestamp; if absent/ambiguous then (2) Premier League site article; if still ambiguous then (3) time-stamped reports from BBC Sport or Reuters. Earliest timestamp wins. If two departures are truly simultaneous by published time, use Reuters timestamps as the tiebreaker. (premierleague.com, reuters.com)

• Rumors/reports without club confirmation do not count. Announced future exits (e.g., “will leave at season’s end”) resolve at the announcement time.

• Only answers listed are eligible. If the first departing manager is not among the provided answers, the market resolves N/A.

Sources for resolution checks: Premier League managers overview; club sites via Premier League; BBC/Reuters for fallback verification. (premierleague.com, reuters.com)

Background

• Context: The 2025–26 Premier League season is underway. For reference on current managers, see the Premier League’s 2025/26 managers hub and managers overview. (premierleague.com)

• Most recent departure: Liam Rosenior left Chelsea on 22 April 2026. This market concerns the next departure after your market’s creation time. (reuters.com)

Considerations

• Because answers are fixed (no “Other”), if an unlisted manager leaves first, this market will resolve N/A.

• Temporary absences (medical leave, suspension) don’t count unless the club states the manager has left the role.

• If a club re-titles the role (e.g., “head coach” vs “manager”), treat them identically; assistants or directors leaving do not count. (premierleague.com)

New Context!

I have taken Manchester United out of the options - to avoid the whole head coach / interim / caretaker manager malarky

New New Context!

I will N/A Chelsea if they appoint an interim manager (like with Michael Carrick at Manchester United)

• Update 2026-04-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Iraola (Bournemouth): Will be counted as having left his post when he actually stops being manager (expected at the end of his contract, likely shortly after their last game), not at the time of earlier announcements. This market effectively becomes: will any other manager leave before Iraola's contract ends?

• Update 2026-04-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple managers are confirmed leaving 'at the end of the season' at the same time (e.g., Iraola, Slot, Pep), the market will resolve to multiple answers equally (e.g., 33/33/33) when the season ends, rather than trying to determine which manager technically left one day before another.