Do you believe that the popular US-Iran war Manifold markets will resolve cleanly?
20
Jun 1
Yes
No
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This is a vibes based question. Vote with your heart.
I'm considering opening a market on this subject, but I don't want to be caught in a firestorm if the US Administration gets wishy-washy over concrete boolean states of the world.
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@bens I simply want to make a market that asks if this war will last exactly 42 months.
I fear the outcome of a ceasefire being declared, but not followed or immediately broken. People might argue that the war never ended in that circumstance, even if I do try to point to something like Wikipedia as a source of truth.
@bens The markets that I'm asking about here are like the time length of the war, and if there are boots in the ground, and if soldiers will be killed and how many, and so on.