The contents of this riseup pad https://pad.riseup.net/p/first-manifold-experiment-keep will be squiggle code that estimates the number of piano tuners in chicago on July 1st 2022

A riseup pad is a lightweight, anonymous, and ephemeral alternative to google docs. Squiggle is an estimational programming language in early access https://www.squiggle-language.com You can view the history of the pad by clicking the timepiece-looking icon on the top right corner. The pad will disappear forever if it goes 365 days without an edit. If a vandal of some kind erases or nonsensizes the contents of the pad, and no one fixes it by the time I view it after market close, market will resolve to N/A. Hint: legal squiggle is a sequence of assignments separated by newline or `;`, with optionally an expression on the last line. A non-assignment (i.e. an expression) that is not on the last line is illegal (and the compiler will tell you it's unhappy). An expression is a number, probability distribution, or data like a list or record. Read the squiggle docs. You should return a distribution, not a number. I will not bet on this market, and I will not view the pad until market close. My only interaction with the pad will be initializing it with a three-line comment at the top (and then reading it after market close) At resolution time I will write my own squiggle file that estimates the number of piano tuners in chicago and resolve YES if the kullback-leibler divergence between my distribution and the Manifold community's distribution is finite.

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