I have a nuanced view about avoiding toxic ways to raise overachievers / I trust myself to make a house full of love if a kid just wants to vibe or whatever. But even when you factor that in it seems like having kids is pretty high impact.
I probably won't make more futarchy markets for secondaries or undisclosed unchristian activities, cuz that's overall not a bottleneck for me right now, but this one https://manifold.markets/Quinn/who-will-i-date-2023?r=UXVpbm4 won't close until the end of the year if you or a friend of yours are more up that alley.
I think I have _relatively_ trad visions of endgame https://quinnd.net/date/ yes you can ask me how childrearing relates to xrisk, no its not disqualifying if you don't want prediction markets all over our courtship. Mild preference for VoI-maxing "reveal compatibility as quickly as possible" strats, but I also know how valuable bottom up old fashion stuff is.
Epistemic status: skeptical about date doc culture (I've done it and I wanted it to work but actually lizardbrains are not intepretable lmao).
Resolves when we decide that we're "trying" (off birth control or maybe the genetic consulting that people do, or whatever).
1,000