The condition for the market was "if Joe Biden is unable to raise half as much as Donald Trump within July". I was going to verify this with FCC filings, but when the transfer occurred, it became a lot more challenging to sum up what the contributions amounts were and whether a donation to Kamala should count as a donation to Biden. Also, looking deeper into the financial markets of campaigning, there is so much dark money townfoolery that I don't think the official FCC filings would even be a good representation of the spirit of what this market was meant to answer. Thus I am resolving N/A.

Thinking about resolving N/A due to the clarity of campaign ownership following Biden's dropped out. If there is objections, I'm willing to consider

Probably close the market for trading while you consider. I think this is a clear YES, myself.

I think the big question is if you are counting donations after it changed to Harris' campaign. Biden did experience a dramatic shortfall in donations, but donations skyrocketed after Harris became the nominee.

At which point they weren't donations to his campaign, they were donations to her campaign.

If he drops out in July then any future donations would be to the replacement candidate, not Biden.

The campaign fund ("committee") referred to as "Biden for President" is now called "Harris for President" and still receiving donations. The underlying entity hasn't changed.

The only good source I found for these numbers is the mandatory monthly reports, but those don't include other funding sources like superPAC donations, and will count Biden/Harris together. The FEC bulk receipts data omits small contributions, so summing the total of receipts from July 1st until when when Biden dropped out for the "Biden for President" committee wouldn't work.

Seems like unless the campaign or a journalist (by means of insider sources) discloses the information publicly, the resolution may be indeterminate under the interpretation you suggest.

So far rumors have it Biden's campaign only raised 25% of expectation this month. Resisting betting on this market

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214

Not bidding on this market to preserve integrity

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/biden-trump-campaigns-both-raise-millions-after-debate-aafb2990

A lot of these donations were already in effect but were scheduled to be completed+filed after the debate in order to drive headline momentum, which is why I am measuring the whole month of July to try and norm out manipulation.