What proportion of runs will each player score in the World Test championship final ?

163

Ṁ2.6K

resolved Jun 11

ALL

16%38%

Travis Head

13%13%

Steve Smith

12%10%

Ajinkya Rahane

10%9%

Alex Carey

6%5%

Marnus Labuschagne

5%5%

Virat Kohli

5%5%

Rohit Sharma

4%3%

Shardul Thakur

4%2%

Ravindra Jadeja

4%2%

Mitchell Starc

4%1.3%

David Warner

4%1.0%

Cheteshwar Pujara

3%1.0%

Cameron Green

3%1.3%

Shubman Gill

2%2%

KS Bharat

2%0.3%

Mohammad Shami

1%0.6%

Pat Cummins

1%0.3%

Usman Khawaja

1%0.1%

Nathan Lyon

1%0.0%

Umesh Yadav

READ THE RULES CAREFULLY.

This market will resolve to a percentage for every player based on their share of runs. The options is based on the squad as of 31 May, 0000 Hrs. Any player who comes in after this time, will not be considered, and the runs they score will not be counted for calculating the proportion, and the runs he scored will be subtracted from the total before calculating the proportions. Similarly, if a player featured in the list doesnt play the match or doesnt score any runs for some other reason, the runs will be 0 for that player when calculating the proportion. So be vary of injuries/concussion subs etc.

The squad now for reference:

https://www.icc-cricket.com/media-releases/3490424

Squads for ICC World Test Championship 2023 Final confirmed

Official ICC Cricket website - live matches, scores, news, highlights, commentary, rankings, videos and fixtures from the International Cricket Council.

As long as the match finishes with either a win by either side , a draw or a tie, the proportions will be the resolution criteria. If the match is washed out or cancelled due to some other reason, the resolution will be N/A.

The resolution date is 14 June to avoid situations like the IPL final. I will resolve as soon as possible.

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20 Comments

149 Trades

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bought Ṁ30 of Marnus Labuschagne

Unfortunately, manifold is not allowing me to resolve this with 2 decimal digit precision. I am thinking of rounding off to the nearest integer, and share the remainder on the top few players. ( 1 each maybe ). Please suggest if there is a better way.

Figured there was a way to actually use their runs scored itself directly instead of keying in the proportions.

@HarishGanesan head should be winner

@RahulShukla Not according to this market. It was clearly mentioned multiple times that the proportions for each player will be used.

bought Ṁ5 of Ajinkya Rahane

I genuinely hope people are reading the description properly. Buying Travis head at 50+ % is insane and is a sure shot loss at this point.

sold Ṁ29 of Travis Head

@HarishGanesan ah shit i thought it was who scored the highest runs

sold Ṁ35 of Steve Smith

@nobody I thought so, and i warned in the comments about this yesterday also.

Proportions after day 4

bought Ṁ6 of Ravindra Jadeja

Please notice that this market will NOT resolve on the player with the highest proportion, whereas the percentage of the runs will be used for every player.

Travis head cannot score any more runs now and his proportion is already below 20%. It is mathematically impossible that his proportion will reach the current trading percentage of 50%. Buying more of travis head now will lead to losses only.

@HarishGanesan head is having highest score

@HarishGanesan how can other player can get more proportion

bought Ṁ8 of Rohit Sharma

@RahulShukla Other players cant get more proportion. But thats not the market. The market will resolve to whatever percentage each of them gets. So at the end if head's proportion is 18%, the market will resolve 18% to head. So buying Head at 40% will only lead to losses as he is already over valued.