Resolves Yes if several of these criteria are met and it's a clear and undeniable consensus in the medical community that any eating widow reduces your chances of cancer related death.
Close date will be extended as needed until the necessary studies are done to resolve this definitively.
Peer reviewed study or studies published in academic journals
Confirms a 00.01% or more reduced chance of cancer related deaths
5,000 - 10,000 participants
10-20 years in length
Study must be longitudinal checking in with the same individuals over the length of the study
Controls are in place for confounders
Resolves No if it's proven no specific eating window reduces cancer related deaths.
I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE
Market inspired by Ammon Lam
You mean "chance per unit time conditional on previous survival", not "total lifetime chance", right? (Otherwise, an empty window—a.k.a. starving yourself to death—will reduce your chance of cancer-related death all the way to zero.)