In The Next Two Months does he (Destiny) finish Factorio
86%
chance

Criteria is when Destiny stops playing Factorio --> I'm not sure if there is an end to this mod but this Manifold is pretty much determined by when he finishes playing it

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woob avatar
woob
bought Ṁ100 of NO

Destiny was talking on stream about doing the "secret" ending where you build the stargate and that requires some first year Uni math and comp-sci stuff, which is probably 100hr of content.

marketman avatar
marketman
is predicting NO at 81%

@woob we're coping 😭

Gen avatar
Genzy
bought Ṁ269 of YES

This one line of unfounded doubt is single-handedly keeping this market below the 95% it should be at.

idris_n avatar
Idris_N
is predicting YES at 74%

When does the market end mmmm

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
is predicting NO at 76%

@idris_n in 2 weeks

dddddddddddddgga avatar
dddd
bought Ṁ400 of NO

Love the copium huffers in this market. About to 7x my net worth

TaZiel avatar
Ta Ziel
is predicting YES at 78%

@dddddddddddddgga no predicters after destiny got banned for a week so he has all the time to finish factorio.

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
is predicting NO at 78%

@TaZiel Where did the hair line go?

TaZiel avatar
Ta Ziel
is predicting YES at 74%

@Simon1551 hairline receding just like No predictor portolio's

Simon1551 avatar
Simon
is predicting NO at 74%
dddddddddddddgga avatar
dddd
is predicting NO at 76%

@TaZiel That's the Yes predicters' face once they realize he said he won't finish it off-stream and is, instead, wasting a week rebuilding old stuff. He's been playing for over 6 months, surely he will finish the last, the most complicated science in a week PepeLaugh

TaZiel avatar
Ta Ziel
is predicting YES at 90%

First time I'm in the green.

TaZiel avatar
Ta Ziel
is predicting YES at 90%

DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
is predicting NO at 88%
Zion avatar
Zion
bought Ṁ1,500 of YES
DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
bought Ṁ193 of NO

This market is gonna ruin my life

Agh avatar
Agh
sold Ṁ103 of YES
DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
is predicting NO at 77%

@Agh amen

TaZiel avatar
Ta Ziel
is predicting YES at 90%
SkepticIC avatar

I don't know why I am trying to make trades on a game I've never played, bad decisions

Agh avatar
Agh
is predicting YES at 66%

@SkepticIC judging by how much the stock has been going up and down, you are not the only one.

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting YES at 68%
DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
bought Ṁ129 of NO

I feel like I'm in too deep

Gen avatar
Genzy
is predicting NO at 67%

@DesTiny Days off, podcasting, with any luck, he’ll still take three weeks to pull off the big finish

DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
is predicting NO at 67%

@Gen has he stated he isn't going for the true ending? I haven't really been wwatching recently

Gen avatar
Genzy
is predicting NO at 67%

@DesTiny He hasn’t committed to either but he gave it a soft no.

DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
is predicting NO at 65%

@Gen yikes

SihnRae avatar
Sihn Rae
bought Ṁ100 of NO

@DesTiny That's just life don't worry about it.

MichaelRobertson avatar

@DesTiny If you check the betting markets, they put him going for the "True" ending at 20-30%, but I think he won't do it. It would be another month or two to finish that at his pace and would need to outsource a ton of work to the CS majors in chat for password cracking.

DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
is predicting NO at 21%

It's kinda crazy how this stayed so high for so long

PryingMind avatar

@DesTiny Yeah I wished I max doubted when it was high I would have made so much

DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
is predicting NO at 20%

@PryingMind Fr it was so high for some reason lol

Zion avatar
Zion
bought Ṁ50 of YES

@DesTiny ive had to wait so long for a good price to add lol

Agh avatar
Agh
is predicting YES at 37%

3 weeks left, 3 deep space sciences left.

Seems possible!

(I actually have no idea)

DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
bought Ṁ10 of NO

There's no chance he finishes playing by february 12th

yaboi69 avatar
yaboi69
is predicting YES at 79%

Add to the dgg groups

Sinclair avatar
Sinclair avatar

(ignore me sent by accident)

Simon1551 avatar

@Sinclair if only we could delete comments 🙃

jonmast avatar

When does this resolve? The close date is more than two months away...

PryingMind avatar

@JonathanMast fixed it

jonmast avatar

@PryingMind thanks! You might want to specify who "he" is - I assume you are referring to Destiny but it's not explicit. Also would be good to be more specific on what qualifies as finishing the game, does it require reaching the end or just moving on to another game?

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting YES at 48%

@JonathanMast Who else would "he" even refer to?

Benj avatar

@Zion He is him