Will Kim Jong-Un still be Supreme Leader of North Korea by the end of 2024?
13
37
αΉ653αΉ270
2025
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Kim Jong-Un still holds the position of Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the sake of this market, we'll consider Kim Jon-Un no longer as Supreme Leader of North Korea under at least two circumstances: 1) If the government of North Korea officially declares he is no longer Chairman of the State Affair Commission (SAC), or 2) if any person or military group is officially recognized by the country's army as their commander in chief, with more authority than Kim.
Get αΉ200 play money
Related questions
Will Kim Jong Un still be the Supreme Leader of North Korea at the beginning of 2025?
93% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2028?
70% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027?
72% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2030?
66% chance
Will Kim Jong-un still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
80% chance
Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
25% chance
Will North Korea announce a formal regime succession plan by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
85% chance
Will Kim Jong Un go abroad in 2025?
70% chance
Will Kim Jong Un outlive Xi Jinping?
76% chance