Musk vs Zuckerberg: Will the fight have a direct effect on stock prices?
Basic
12
αΉ€171
2026
52%
chance

Conditional on the fight happening.

TESLA & META stock

Direct effect attributed to fight, covered by established news source only.

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THIS IS A GOOD ONE LOL

Does this resolve YES if EITHER $META OR $TSLA β€˜s stock movement is attributed to the fight by ANY established news outlet within a short time of the fight?

If the fight does not happen, this resolves N/A right?

@AashiqDheeraj77eb Yes. It must be a reasonable source or comprehensive analysis that directly attributes the move to the fight. No grey area. If the fight doesn't happen, resolves N/A.

predicts YES

@Predictor If there exists a major news outlet that attributes the move to other factors than the fight, do we resolve NO? Ie do we need unanimous approval among news outlets on the causality?

Do we need it to be BOTH stocks or just 1?

What if BOTH go up or down?

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