The market resolves positively if a US official meets (in person or virtually) with Turkish president Erdoğan and one of the parties confirms that Swedish and/or Finnish NATO membership was discussed, prior to the 2023 NATO Summit (scheduled in Vilnius on July 11th and 12th). The country discussed has to not be ratified by Turkey for NATO membership at the time of the meeting. The market resolves negatively if no such meeting has taken place before January 1st, 2024 (in the case that there is no NATO summit before then). The market also resolves negatively if Turkey ratifies Sweden and Finland into NATO before any such meeting occur.