Will Keith Richards outlive Mick Jagger?
Will Keith Richards outlive Mick Jagger?
17
1kṀ3082029
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Rolling Stones singer Mick Jagger turned 80 in July 2023. Stones' guitarist Keith Richards turns 80 in December 2023. Having survived years of addiction and excess, he has been described as "indestructible." Is time on his side?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Paul McCartney outlive Bob Dylan?
58% chance
Will Brian Wilson outlive Rod Stewart?
47% chance
Will Elton John outlive Bob Dylan?
66% chance
When will Mick Jagger and Keith Richards die?
will cheech outlive chong?
58% chance
Which of the last two remaining Beatles will die first?
Will William Shatner outlive Patrick Stewart?
21% chance
Will Elton John outlive Billy Joel?
48% chance
Will at least one of the Beatles still be alive in 2030?
62% chance