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MANIFOLD
Will Trump outperform Mark Robinson by more than 15 points?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ110
resolved Nov 9
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Trump's margin in North Carolina (i.e., his percentage of the vote minus Harris's) is greater than Robinson's by at least 15%.

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Trump's margin was 3.4%. Robinson's was -14.6%.

Stein is currently ahead in the polling average by 15 points. If the polling is accurate and Trump still wins NC, this would resolve YES.

https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1842306887267864636

@PlasmaBallin you may wanna extend this one