Will this market's probability ever go below 1%?
58
159
1.1k
resolved Apr 17
Resolved
NO

Based on the displayed value

Get Ṁ600 play money

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predicted NO

How is "below 1%" even possible?

predicted NO

@CalebDitchfield It displays decimals for small values. Try entering 462000 into the NO bet field right now and you’ll see the preview go below 1%

if limit orders stand at 1% then the embedded market could end up being true as well

predicted NO

@Dreamingpast I don't think so. The largest limit orders are for Ṁ1000. If one gets filled and then this resolves YES, even assuming the person with the order hasn't bought any NO shares or sold any YES shares early, they make 99K in profit, not even a tenth of what that market requires.