Will the winner of Iowa in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
Basic
10
Ṁ918Dec 1
98%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the candidate that wins Iowa get more than 50% of the votes in Iowa? This would resolve NO if the candidate gets only a plurality (more votes than any other candidate), but not a majority.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 YES
biiiig jump after the seltzer poll, but seeing as they don't typically count votes for "i don't know" or "don't want to say" i think this is still pretty likely
Related questions
Related questions
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Iowa?
99% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Iowa?
1% chance
Will the winner of Nevada in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
78% chance
Will the winner of Texas in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
96% chance
Will the winner of Wisconsin in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
96% chance
Will the winner of Pennsylvania in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
86% chance
Will the winner of Georgia in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
67% chance
Will the winner of Minnesota in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
92% chance
Will the winner of Alaska in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
97% chance
Will the winner of Michigan in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
50% chance