MANIFOLD
Will the winner of Iowa in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
11
Ṁ90Ṁ1.4k
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
YES

Will the candidate that wins Iowa get more than 50% of the votes in Iowa? This would resolve NO if the candidate gets only a plurality (more votes than any other candidate), but not a majority.

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bought Ṁ25 YES

biiiig jump after the seltzer poll, but seeing as they don't typically count votes for "i don't know" or "don't want to say" i think this is still pretty likely

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