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As of the most recent update, the average has to be below ~41% or above ~87% for the remaining period in order for this to resolve YES. The former looks almost certain to happen.

It will probably end up below 40%

@AlexRockwell I just made one for that as well:

Now average is around 46.5. But it seems that NO will win, and if it will happen I am sure the average will be < 45.

Now that it's currently deadlocked at just above 50%, with the average also being just above 50, this is becoming slightly less likely.

Based on the current status, the market would need to average either <35% or >55% for the rest of the time for this to resolve YES.

@Gabrielle But once the closure time gets closer, it will probably be clearer which side is going to win. I expect that the market will start to shift pretty far in one direction before it ends.

@JosephNoonan I'm hoping so, it would certainly make my job easier :)